June 2018 Visa Bulletin Analysis

The visa bulletin for June is consistent with DOS' recent predictions--- employment based movement has ground to a halt.  There was only movement in one class, EB-2 India, and that only advanced by four days.  The lack of progress is due to the expectation that it takes at least 5 months for an adjustment case to be processed, which is no longer likely before the end of the fiscal year on September 30th.  Adding to the challenge of predicting usage is the new interview process for employment-based adjustments, since it's difficult to anticipate demand at the USCIS office level.

Employment-Based Movement

EB-1 did not shift.  The category is retrogressed more than six years for India and China.  Dates for both countries are set at 01JAN12.  Worldwide, Mexico, and the Philippines remain current.

EB-2 Worldwide remains current.  China remains locked. India was the only advancer, moving four days forward to 26DEC08.

EB-3 Remains current Worldwide. China remains at 01JUN15 and India at 01MAY08. 

Family-Based Movement

Continued usage of the more advantageous Chart B, Dates for Filing chart for June 2018 is allowed for family-based adjustments, but not for employment-based applications.

F1 (Unmarried Sons and Daughters of US Citizens) Worldwide, China, and India remain at 08APR11 for the second month in a row.  Mexico surged forward seven months (the most on the entire chart this month!) to 01JUN97.  The Philippines advanced two months to 22MAR06.  Movement in this category this month is consistent with our analysis that the F1 category will slow for the remainder of the fiscal year.

F2A (Spouses and Children of Permanent Residents) slowed significantly.  Worldwide did not advance and stays at 08JUN16.  India, China, and the Philippines moved only one week collectively to 08JUN16 and Mexico advanced three weeks to 08MAY16.

F2B (Unmarried Sons and Daughters of Permanent Residents) saw some of the most significant forward movement on the chart, advancing more than 5 weeks to 22JUN11 for Worldwide, China, and India.  Mexico was the greatest advancer, moving forward 2.5 months to 15FEB97.  Phillippines also advanced, gaining 4 weeks to 15JAN07. 

F3 (Married Sons and Daughters of US Citizens) saw some of the most steady advancement across the board.  Worldwide, India, and China all advanced at the same 6 week pace to 15MAR06.  Mexico moved forward one month and Philippines by one week.

F4 (Brothers and Sisters of Adult US Citizens) was a bit of a mixed bag.  Worldwide and China moved ahead by three weeks to 22OCT04.  India moved two weeks forward to 15MAR04.  Mexico remains locked at 08JAN98 and Philippines advanced three weeks to 22FEB95.